trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? | Down | 33¢ | 38¢ | $110 | $125 | +$15 (+14%) |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $8 | −$8 (-50%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Down | 18¢ | 0¢ | $75 | $0 | −$75 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Down | 14¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Down | 29¢ | 0¢ | $156 | $0 | −$156 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $164 | −$156 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $156 | −$156 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $53 | −$50 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $289 | −$73 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $157 | +$65 | +42% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Jun 11 | $32 | −$30 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Jun 11 | $25 | +$8 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Jun 11 | $210 | −$175 | -83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Jun 11 | $265 | −$178 | -67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 11 | $79 | −$75 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 11 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 11 | $189 | +$163 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Jun 11 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Jun 11 | $53 | +$51 | +98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 11 | $159 | +$39 | +24% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -40.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -40.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -40.4% |
| all | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -40.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -45.4% | 33% | -40.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -50.6% | 33% | -46.1% |
| 15% | -55.4% | 20% | -51.3% |
| 20% | -59.8% | 13% | -56.1% |