Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:53:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2322…3ede
crypto · 122 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10,118 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$615 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,684
Realized+$615
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses86 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)120 / 122
History coverage11d
Avg bet$12,213
Trades / day307.1
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$122
14 days+$615
30 days+$615
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $4,685 $4,684 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $1,814 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $305 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $131 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $852 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $222 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $8,892 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $1,752 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $11,579 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $3,012 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $4,527 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $962 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $47,359 −$5 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $31,036 −$4 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $29,970 +$30 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,372 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $71,289 −$2 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $700 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $561 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $7,709 +$11 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $179 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $257 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $3,335 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20,381 −$2 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $40,740 −$3 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10,066 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $7,304 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,078 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $375 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $721 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3,714 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $11,772 +$11 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,722 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $74 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $14,938 +$12 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $7,046 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $2,381 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $8,788 +$9 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $12,341 +$11 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $629 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $30,315 −$4 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,904 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $4,763 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $46,667 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $42,237 −$6 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $29 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $97 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $83 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $84 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $89 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $65 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $67 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $104 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $3 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 24m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 31m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $999 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $21 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $99 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $80 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $91 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $118 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $106 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $90 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $81 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $555 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $55 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $555 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $555 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $78 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $66 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $82 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $35 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +0.1% -9.5% 65% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 120 +0.1% -9.5% 72% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 120 +0.1% -9.5% 72% 0% -9.5%
all 120 +0.1% -9.5% 72% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover307.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,684.26 · official $4,684.15 (match) · 3500 history records