Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x232a…849a
crypto · 750 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$222 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$222
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses387 / 360
Open positions3
Markets (closed)747 / 750
History coverage9d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day131.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 747 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$222
30 days−$222
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 59¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 68¢ 56¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 432 -0.4% -9.9% 53% 53% -11.2%
≤30d 747 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 51% -17.0%
≤90d 747 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 51% -17.0%
all 747 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 51% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 51% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 49% -24.9%
15% -30.7% 45% -32.2%
20% -37.5% 41% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.73 · official $8.15 (match) · 1615 history records