trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 41% | 30% | -19.5% |
| ≤30d | 36 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 39% | 31% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 36 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 39% | 31% | -12.2% |
| all | 36 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 39% | 31% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.9% | 31% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 17% | -20.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -35.4% | 14% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 11% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $397 | $544 | +$147 (+37%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $387 | $337 | −$49 (-13%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $146 | $118 | −$28 (-19%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $1 | −$23 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $326 | +$24 | +7% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,366 | −$1,351 | -99% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $244 | −$242 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,419 | +$632 | +26% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -42% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $39 | −$35 | -92% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2,179 | −$2,124 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1,741 | +$632 | +36% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $269 | +$36 | +13% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $520 | +$319 | +61% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $117 | −$7 | -6% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3,805 | −$3,433 | -90% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $3,211 | +$3,534 | +110% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,289 | +$244 | +19% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $193 | −$188 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $329 | +$60 | +18% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $23 | −$16 | -69% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 12 | $497 | −$17 | -4% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $99 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $519 | +$41 | +8% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $115 | +$18 | +16% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $15 | −$2 | -17% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1,199 | −$385 | -32% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $171 | −$15 | -9% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? | Jun 10 | $286 | −$39 | -14% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? | Jun 10 | $661 | +$362 | +55% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $2,249 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $17 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $40 | −$5 | -11% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $3,731 | +$782 | +21% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1,256 | −$131 | -10% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $668 | +$469 | +70% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | May 26 | $3 | $0 | -13% |