Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:42:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x2334…9a9f crypto 97 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1125 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$48,722 (+110%) realized +$48,722 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate60%58W / 39L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown45%max
Avg bet$457per market
Trades / day1125.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,777
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1125 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -9.0% -17.7% 60% 57% -1.8%
≤30d 97 -9.0% -17.7% 60% 57% -1.8%
≤90d 97 -9.0% -17.7% 60% 57% -1.8%
all 97 -9.0% -17.7% 60% 57% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1125.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 57% -1.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 49% -11.2%
15% -32.8% 28% -19.8%
20% -39.4% 15% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +8% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$661) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -9% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
33.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$202 vs −$203 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.48 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$48,722
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses58 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)97 / 97
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$457
Trades / day1125.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 97 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $228 +$72 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $440 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $305 −$305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $298 −$298 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $249 +$51 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $371 +$129 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $295 +$205 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $391 +$109 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $351 +$149 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $435 +$65 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $308 +$192 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $355 +$145 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $605 +$195 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $114 +$86 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $307 +$193 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $310 +$190 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $347 +$253 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1,681 +$619 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $390 +$110 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $882 −$360 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,346 +$653 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $998 +$502 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $224 +$73 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $550 +$150 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $272 +$53 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $349 −$49 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $251 +$249 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $302 +$98 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $95 +$105 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $365 −$365 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $312 −$312 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $325 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $344 −$344 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $571 −$571 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $1,304 +$696 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $82 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $123 +$77 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $152 −$152 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $217 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $48 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records