Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:35:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x2339…b9b0 crypto 5 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$25 (-50%) realized −$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -67% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -72% what you keep after slip
Net edge-72%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day8.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
≤30d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
≤90d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
all 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -70.5% 0% -80.7%
10% -73.3% 0% -82.6%
15% -75.9% 0% -84.3%
20% -78.2% 0% -85.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -79% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -67% · $-wt -79% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$5 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $15 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records