Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2349…0aa7
crypto · 152 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses56 / 96
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 152
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day67.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 152 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$99
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$22 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$56 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$16 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$8
other 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -11.9% -20.3% 37% 30% -28.3%
≤30d 152 -11.9% -20.3% 37% 30% -28.3%
≤90d 152 -11.9% -20.3% 37% 30% -28.3%
all 152 -11.9% -20.3% 37% 30% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 30% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 28% -35.2%
15% -34.9% 22% -41.4%
20% -41.3% 22% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 316 history records