trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 36¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner | EDward Gaming | 69¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Jazz vs. Heat | Heat | 48¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $0 | −$23 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +109% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $3 | +$10 | +325% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner | Feb 10 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Heat | Feb 10 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026 | Feb 10 | $23 | −$1 | -3% |
| Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio | Feb 10 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connell | Feb 09 | $38 | −$14 | -38% |
| Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbert | Feb 09 | $61 | +$16 | +26% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Feb 09 | $49 | +$12 | +24% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +111.3% | +91.2% | 67% | 67% | -84.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +111.3% | +91.2% | 67% | 67% | -84.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +111.3% | +91.2% | 67% | 67% | -84.7% |
| all | 10 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 40% | 40% | -54.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.6% | 40% | -54.4% |
| 10% | -14.6% | 40% | -58.8% |
| 15% | -22.9% | 20% | -62.7% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 20% | -66.4% |