Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2387…2a96
sports · 720 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$2,197 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,059 · open −$137
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$631
Realized−$2,059
Unrealized−$137
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses182 / 504
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions32
Markets (closed)686 / 720
History coverage701d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 32 History 686 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days+$26
30 days−$221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $100 $122 +$22 (+22%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 27¢ 24¢ $100 $89 −$11 (-11%)
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 26¢ 34¢ $50 $66 +$16 (+33%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 54¢ 65¢ $50 $60 +$10 (+20%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+14%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 13¢ $10 $22 +$12 (+125%)
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 19¢ 4¢ $110 $22 −$88 (-80%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 6¢ 20¢ $5 $16 +$11 (+210%)
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 10¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+46%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 21¢ 34¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+64%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 16¢ 21¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-68%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+42%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 +$49 +238%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $81 −$10 -12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $15 +$122 +793%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 +$25 +250%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 27 $10 +$23 +226%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $51 +$81 +158%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? May 27 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Playo May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 27 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 27 $46 −$46 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $26 +$63 +246%
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 20 $106 +$52 +49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 20 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 20 $71 −$71 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 20 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $152 +$112 +74%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 19 $26 +$83 +325%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 16 $71 +$117 +165%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 14 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 14 $15 +$23 +152%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 14 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 14 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 34% −$482
other 29% −$1,694
sports 24% +$220
crypto 4% +$436
world 3% −$432
economics 2% −$8
culture 2% −$279
finance 2% +$39
tech 0% −$23
weather 0% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 6h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 6h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $10 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $51 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 27¢ $10 7h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 29¢ $20 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 9¢ $11 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 48¢ $20 10d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 8¢ $10 11d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 12¢ $10 11d
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner BUY Shopify Rebellion 8¢ $5 11d
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner BUY Shopify Rebellion 21¢ $10 11d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 8¢ $5 12d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 3¢ $5 12d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $137 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 6¢ $5 13d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $10 13d
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner BUY DN SOOPers 24¢ $20 13d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 4¢ $2 14d
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 3¢ $5 14d
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 5¢ $5 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Kiwoom DRX 32¢ $10 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -15.6% -23.6% 25% 25% -14.0%
≤30d 60 -35.6% -41.7% 18% 18% -22.5%
≤90d 335 -15.2% -23.3% 21% 21% -8.7%
all 686 -16.8% -24.7% 27% 25% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.7% 25% -15.7%
10% -31.9% 23% -23.7%
15% -38.5% 21% -31.1%
20% -44.5% 19% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $630.87 · official $653.43 · 1962 history records