Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x238a…a504
politics · 18 markets active 9d ago
3.0score
+$24,282 +522%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24,282 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$24,282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses8 / 10
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage11d
Avg bet$258
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$24,487
30 days+$24,282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No 15¢ 0¢ $474 $0 −$474 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 13¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election? No 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Will Choi Min-ho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? No 1¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $281 $0 −$281 (-100%)
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? No 15¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? Jun 05 $129 +$23 +18%
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E Jun 05 $30 +$57 +187%
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial El Jun 05 $522 +$412 +79%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? Jun 05 $0 +$17 +49096%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $1,114 +$23,803 +2137%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $543 +$1,621 +299%
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? Jun 03 $189 +$26 +14%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 03 $619 −$562 -91%
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean loca Jun 03 $241 −$187 -78%
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 03 $196 +$53 +27%
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 03 $533 −$445 -84%
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elec Jun 03 $282 −$281 -100%
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government Jun 03 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $40 −$39 -98%
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial May 25 $152 −$152 -100%
Will Choi Min-ho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election? May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election? May 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 77% +$23,956
world 22% +$365
sports 1% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 95¢ $2,753 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 96¢ $3,069 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $200 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $2,898 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $4,571 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 82¢ $950 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 82¢ $4 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 84¢ $140 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $658 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $818 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $55 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $550 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $15 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 73¢ $21 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 74¢ $74 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $16 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $78 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $3 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $15 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $88 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $225 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $810 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 62¢ $795 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 63¢ $3 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 71¢ $2,130 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 61¢ $400 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 61¢ $305 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 61¢ $800 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 61¢ $30 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 61¢ $110 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+173.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 18 +202.1% +173.3% 44% 44% +463.9%
≤90d 18 +202.1% +173.3% 44% 44% +463.9%
all 18 +202.1% +173.3% 44% 44% +463.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +173.3% 44% +463.9%
10% ← realistic here +147.2% 33% +409.9%
15% +123.3% 28% +360.7%
20% +101.4% 28% +315.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 294 history records