Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x238b…44eb
crypto · 1749 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$13
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1028 / 581
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1609 / 1749
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day111.5
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1609 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$321
7 days−$132
14 days+$16
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 68¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$375
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 765 +3.7% -6.2% 56% 55% -18.3%
≤30d 1609 +7.0% -3.2% 64% 63% -9.6%
≤90d 1609 +7.0% -3.2% 64% 63% -9.6%
all 1609 +7.0% -3.2% 64% 63% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 63% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 55% -18.2%
15% -20.9% 42% -26.1%
20% -28.7% 34% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.85 · official $2.18 (match) · 3500 history records