Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x239b…0db7
crypto · 341 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$165 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses334 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)341 / 341
History coverage14d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 341 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$137
14 days+$166
30 days+$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $148 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$4 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $149 −$140 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $149 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $148 +$6 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $149 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$4 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $148 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$4 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$136
other 13% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $125 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $148 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $149 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $8 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $61 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $67 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $148 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $32 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $118 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 341 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 341 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -8.3%
all 341 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.5% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.35 · official $0.00 (match) · 724 history records