Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23a8…3a9f
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$47 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses22 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$47
14 days+$47
30 days+$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +15.9% +4.8% 69% 69% +8.4%
≤30d 32 +15.9% +4.8% 69% 69% +8.4%
≤90d 32 +15.9% +4.8% 69% 69% +8.4%
all 32 +15.9% +4.8% 69% 69% +8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.8% 69% +8.4%
10% ← realistic here -5.2% 69% -2.0%
15% -14.3% 66% -11.5%
20% -22.7% 44% -20.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 54 history records