Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23bc…5487
sports · 626 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$2,867 +100%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,235 · open +$89
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,113
Realized+$1,235
Unrealized+$89
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses155 / 23
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions415
Markets (closed)178 / 626
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1218.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 415 History 178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,183
7 days+$1,235
14 days+$1,235
30 days+$1,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? No 34¢ 34¢ $177 $177 +$1 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 100¢ $163 $167 +$4 (+2%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 92¢ $164 $166 +$2 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 93¢ 95¢ $142 $145 +$3 (+2%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 96¢ 96¢ $132 $132 +$0 (+0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $127 $128 +$0 (+0%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $82 $83 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) South Africa 68¢ 72¢ $74 $78 +$4 (+5%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 100¢ $73 $76 +$3 (+4%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 79¢ 84¢ $71 $75 +$4 (+5%)
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? No 81¢ 78¢ $73 $70 −$2 (-3%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $58 $62 +$4 (+7%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 86¢ 86¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) Spain 99¢ 99¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 40¢ 38¢ $44 $43 −$2 (-4%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? No 21¢ 20¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Spain leading at halftime? No 28¢ 28¢ $38 $39 +$0 (+1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 83¢ 86¢ $36 $37 +$2 (+5%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? No 36¢ 38¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+4%)
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? No 76¢ 78¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 84¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 96¢ $32 $34 +$2 (+7%)
Spread: Japan (-2.5) Netherlands 98¢ 99¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 96¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 +$2 +152%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +49%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Jun 14 $6 +$5 +83%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 +$3 +336%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 14 $14 +$9 +64%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $82 +$106 +129%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 +$17 +1034%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $6 +$1 +11%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $4 −$3 -71%
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 +$40 +394%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $15 −$7 -47%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$4 -76%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $5 +$3 +74%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $0 +$1 +510%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $14 +$6 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2 +$2 +95%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $4 +$5 +114%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 14 $4 +$3 +68%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $2 +$1 +61%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $17 −$14 -86%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $31 −$30 -95%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $3 +$3 +94%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 +$33 +3192%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $31 +$5 +14%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $49 +$6 +12%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $25 +$4 +14%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $19 +$3 +17%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $11 +$4 +32%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $11 +$2 +18%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $2 +$7 +358%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$517
sports 38% +$802
crypto 4% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 37m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 38m
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 32¢ $1 38m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 BUY Under 38¢ $0 38m
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $0 38m
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $0 38m
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY No 86¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY No 94¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY No 94¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY No 86¢ $1 39m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 7¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY No 90¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY No 94¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY No 94¢ $1 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +79%
net ROI/market (all)+137.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 +162.2% +137.3% 87% 79% +91.3%
≤30d 178 +162.2% +137.3% 87% 79% +91.3%
≤90d 178 +162.2% +137.3% 87% 79% +91.3%
all 178 +162.2% +137.3% 87% 79% +91.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1218.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +137.3% 79% +91.3%
10% ← realistic here +114.6% 69% +73.0%
15% +93.8% 60% +56.3%
20% +74.8% 55% +41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,112.54 · official $5,355.22 · 3500 history records