Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23cb…f8f3
crypto · 161 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$592 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$592 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$592
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses72 / 88
Open positions1
Markets (closed)160 / 161
History coverage4d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day117.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$332
7 days−$592
14 days−$592
30 days−$592
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$36 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$33 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$42 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$30 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$18 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$12 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$8 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$25 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$27 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$592
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -10.6% -19.1% 45% 39% -24.5%
≤30d 160 -10.6% -19.1% 45% 39% -24.5%
≤90d 160 -10.6% -19.1% 45% 39% -24.5%
all 160 -10.6% -19.1% 45% 39% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 39% -24.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 35% -31.7%
15% -33.9% 29% -38.3%
20% -40.4% 22% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.15 · official $15.15 (match) · 491 history records