trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz | Alexander Bublik | 56¢ | 56¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak | Kamil Majchrzak | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 64¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs | Team Falcons | 63¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves | Pittsburgh Pirates | 68¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves | Jun 07 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | Jun 03 | $1 | +$1 | +101% |
| Counter-Strike: Prestige vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Jun 03 | $2 | +$1 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | May 24 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 50% | 50% | -40.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -32.2% | -38.7% | 45% | 45% | -51.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -32.2% | -38.7% | 45% | 45% | -51.9% |
| all | 11 | -32.2% | -38.7% | 45% | 45% | -51.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.7% | 45% | -51.9% |
| 10% | -44.5% | 45% | -56.5% |
| 15% | -49.9% | 27% | -60.7% |
| 20% | -54.8% | 9% | -64.5% |