Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:15:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x23ef…a0d9 crypto 381 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$36 (+1%) realized +$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate90%342W / 39L
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day77.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 381 +0.6% -9.0% 90% 48% -9.4%
≤30d 381 +0.6% -9.0% 90% 48% -9.4%
≤90d 381 +0.6% -9.0% 90% 48% -9.4%
all 381 +0.6% -9.0% 90% 48% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 48% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 5% -18.0%
15% -25.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses342 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)381 / 381
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day77.1
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 381 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$2 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $14 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 804 history records