Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2410…1d99
crypto · 1166 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$164 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses835 / 331
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1166 / 1166
History coverage68d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 1166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -66%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -35%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$158
other 17% −$4
sports 3% −$4
world 1% +$2
weather 0% $0
tech 0% $0
politics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 32m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 33m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -9.4% -18.0% 60% 20% -21.9%
≤30d 50 -9.4% -18.0% 60% 20% -21.9%
≤90d 1166 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 25% -14.7%
all 1166 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 25% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 25% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 9% -22.9%
15% -29.3% 3% -30.3%
20% -36.3% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records