Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x241f…ef50
other · 2644 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,907,249 +5243%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open −$6,801
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,110
Realized+$44
Unrealized−$6,801
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses2 / 445
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions248
Markets (closed)447 / 2644
History coverage19d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day172.6
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 248 History 447 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 99¢ $5,000 $9,935 +$4,935 (+99%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 99¢ $2,000 $3,974 +$1,974 (+99%)
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $5,000 $65 −$4,935 (-99%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $2,000 $26 −$1,974 (-99%)
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner TEC Esports 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49750%)
Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Friedsam (+1.5) Zidansek 0¢ 49¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49250%)
ITF Klagenfurt: Dominik Recek vs Justas Trainauskas Justas Trainauskas 0¢ 45¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+45299%)
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Nerve of Cow 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$3 (+49900%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49800%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Duncan/Ribero vs. Bianchi/Sheehy: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 0¢ 44¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+43500%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49400%)
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5) Weibo Gaming 0¢ 47¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+47350%)
Friedsam vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5 Over 0¢ 45¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+44899%)
Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Clutchain Female 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
StarCraft II: Cure vs sOs - Map 1 Winner sOs 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49398%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jordan Clarkson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA F Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Mitchell Robinson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Jalen Brunson score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Spring? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Michael Stansfield advance from the CA-06 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -99%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 11? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will SpaceX IPO on June 18, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will SpaceX IPO on June 26, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 9? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will 320 to 349 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026? Jun 07 $0 $0 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 88% −$6,906
crypto 12% +$42
other 0% +$42
weather 0% −$1
tech 0% $0
sports 0% +$60
world 0% $0
culture 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
finance 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bad Bunny attend UFC Freedom 250? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 36m
Will Alicia Keys attend UFC Freedom 250? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 36m
Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 37m
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) BUY Curaçao 0¢ $0 1h
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Carin Elam advance from the CA-14 primary election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Suzanne Chenault advance from the CA-14 primary election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
NBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will there be 6+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Lionel Messi attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Karl-Anthony Towns score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA F BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Devin Vassell score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Landry Shamet score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Julian Champagnie score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Fi BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will De'Aaron Fox score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Jordan Clarkson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA F BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Carter Bryant record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Fin BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Mitchell Robinson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Harrison Barnes record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA F BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 0¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-95.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 447 -94.9% -95.3% 0% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 447 -94.9% -95.3% 0% 0% -9.1%
all 447 -94.9% -95.3% 0% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -95.3% 0% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -95.8% 0% -17.8%
15% -96.2% 0% -25.8%
20% -96.6% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,110.25 · official $14,109.97 (match) · 3500 history records