trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 28 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 57% | 7% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 7% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 4% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 4% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 4% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $63 | −$3 | -4% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? | Apr 05 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 01 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 01 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 31 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 31 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 30 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 30 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 28 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 25 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 23 | $4 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19? | Mar 21 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump say NATO 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on | Mar 20 | $11 | +$23 | +203% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%? | Feb 27 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout? | Feb 27 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | Feb 21 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |