trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +53.8% | +39.2% | 100% | 100% | +40.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +27.4% | +15.3% | 86% | 71% | +18.5% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 78% | 67% | -6.3% |
| all | 18 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 78% | 67% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +1.3% | 67% | -6.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -8.4% | 50% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -17.3% | 44% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -25.4% | 22% | -31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 69¢ | $1,452 | $1,462 | +$10 (+1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $250 | $249 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,003 | +$458 | +46% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1,399 | +$868 | +62% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2,154 | +$1,431 | +66% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $615 | −$574 | -93% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $7,639 | +$849 | +11% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $8,000 | +$742 | +9% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $3,066 | +$2,988 | +98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 22 | $4,575 | +$304 | +7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 22 | $4,985 | +$2,099 | +42% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | Apr 17 | $4,500 | +$644 | +14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 14 | $8,000 | −$8,000 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 14 | $5,000 | −$5,000 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Apr 14 | $2,500 | +$1,109 | +44% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 13 | $2,500 | +$983 | +39% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $2,500 | −$811 | -32% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $6,000 | +$1,681 | +28% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Mar 30 | $2,000 | +$1,197 | +60% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Mar 27 | $5,000 | +$1,053 | +21% |