Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:45:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2432…28a5
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$164 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses4 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$164
7 days−$164
14 days−$164
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +252%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$11 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +223%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +233%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$164
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $15 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-58.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -54.5% -58.8% 14% 14% -74.5%
≤30d 28 -54.5% -58.8% 14% 14% -74.5%
≤90d 28 -54.5% -58.8% 14% 14% -74.5%
all 28 -54.5% -58.8% 14% 14% -74.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.8% 14% -74.5%
10% ← realistic here -62.8% 14% -76.9%
15% -66.4% 14% -79.1%
20% -69.7% 14% -81.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records