Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
24 0x243b…0625 other 60 markets active 3h ago coverage 16d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$1,477 (+22%) realized +$1,477 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +141% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +85% what you keep after slip
Net edge+85%after slip
Net WR72%break-even
Win rate72%43W / 17L
Drawdown32%max
Avg bet$114per market
Trades / day24.2pace
Fees−$24est.
Kalshi-fit15%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$642
7 days+$601
14 days+$1,360
30 days+$1,452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 86% +$1,447
sports 10% +$26
crypto 5% −$48
world 0% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)+117.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +122.9% +101.7% 56% 56% +22.2%
≤30d 60 +140.6% +117.7% 72% 72% +25.5%
≤90d 60 +140.6% +117.7% 72% 72% +25.5%
all 60 +140.6% +117.7% 72% 72% +25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +117.7% 72% +25.5%
10% ← realistic here +96.9% 65% +13.5%
15% +77.8% 57% +2.5%
20% +60.4% 52% -7.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 52% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +35% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +141% · $-wt +35% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +90% → late +191% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$59 vs −$64 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.33 per $1 lost it wins $2.33
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,477
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses43 / 17
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage16d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit15%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $45 +$16 +37%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 23 $146 +$12 +8%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $6 +$4 +72%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $90 −$52 -58%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $635 −$423 -67%
Will Raja Club Athletic vs. COD Meknès end in a draw? Jun 21 $235 −$199 -84%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $328 +$1,001 +306%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $300 −$46 -15%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $74 +$27 +36%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $50 −$11 -23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $200 −$13 -6%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $3 +$7 +233%
Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $250 +$316 +126%
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $134 +$175 +130%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $216 −$216 -100%
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $2 +$4 +233%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $3 +$8 +234%
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $17 −$8 -46%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $700 +$20 +3%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $1 +$4 +400%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$2 -25%
Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $0 $0 +100%
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $0 +$5 +2400%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $219 +$257 +117%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $540 +$37 +7%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$7 +847%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +100%
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $125 +$8 +6%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $8 +$5 +64%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $205 −$25 -12%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$2 +19%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 +$7 +113%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $80 +$16 +20%
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? Jun 10 $51 +$70 +136%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $82 +$96 +117%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $689 +$197 +29%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +39%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +100%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $375 +$7 +2%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $19 −$4 -20%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 -8%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 +$2 +48%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 09 $26 −$1 -4%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$3 +21%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $0 $0 +56%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $480 −$46 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 0¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $34 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $87 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 2h
Will France win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 1¢ $59 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will France win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 0¢ $27 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $82 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will France win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 0¢ $17 2h
Will France win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 0¢ $1 2h
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $64 2h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 5h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 5h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 5h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 5h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 408 history records