Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:01:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2456…09df
crypto · 1318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses891 / 426
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1317 / 1318
History coverage108d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$12
14 days+$20
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 83¢ 82¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$54
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 363 -1.0% -10.4% 62% 46% -8.4%
≤30d 411 -2.6% -11.9% 60% 45% -9.8%
≤90d 1049 -15.4% -23.5% 61% 38% -19.4%
all 1317 -0.9% -10.4% 68% 46% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 46% -10.4%
10% -18.9% 34% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 23% -26.8%
20% -33.9% 16% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.20 · official $4.53 (match) · 2998 history records