trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 47% | 47% | -4.5% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 41% | 41% | -6.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 44% | 40% | -6.1% |
| all | 25 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 44% | 40% | -6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.9% | 40% | -6.1% |
| 10% | -38.4% | 36% | -15.1% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 32% | -23.3% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 28% | -30.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | Yes | 42¢ | 34¢ | $81 | $64 | −$16 (-20%) |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | 32¢ | 21¢ | $50 | $33 | −$17 (-34%) |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 80¢ | $23 | $32 | +$9 (+38%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $29 | $29 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 22¢ | $30 | $23 | −$7 (-22%) |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5 | Under | 47¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Under | 63¢ | 0¢ | $14 | $0 | −$14 (-100%) |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 35¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $7 | +$8 | +110% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$3 | -41% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $29 | +$5 | +19% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | +$11 | +38% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $16 | +$23 | +139% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $50 | +$38 | +76% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $86 | +$28 | +33% |
| Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $87 | +$73 | +84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Apr 27 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Apr 27 | $8 | +$7 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | Apr 27 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? | Apr 27 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | Apr 25 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31? | Apr 25 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |