Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x246f…c534
crypto · 111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses81 / 30
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day166.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$1
other 5% −$2
sports 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +3.2% -6.6% 73% 63% -9.7%
≤30d 111 +3.2% -6.6% 73% 63% -9.7%
≤90d 111 +3.2% -6.6% 73% 63% -9.7%
all 111 +3.2% -6.6% 73% 63% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 63% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 47% -18.4%
15% -23.7% 28% -26.3%
20% -31.2% 14% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 260 history records