trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 100% | 25% | -7.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -20.9% | -28.4% | 75% | 12% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -20.9% | -28.4% | 75% | 12% | -10.9% |
| all | 24 | -37.2% | -43.1% | 50% | 8% | -22.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.1% | 8% | -22.3% |
| 10% | -48.6% | 0% | -29.8% |
| 15% | -53.6% | 0% | -36.5% |
| 20% | -58.1% | 0% | -42.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $1,000 | $994 | −$6 (-1%) |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 50¢ | 57¢ | $18 | $21 | +$3 (+14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $1,014 | +$213 | +21% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $1,001 | +$32 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 23 | $5,007 | +$62 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 23 | $5,000 | +$9 | +0% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +6% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $509 | −$509 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 | Jan 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 | Jan 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5 | Jan 13 | $22 | −$20 | -90% |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 | Jan 13 | $5 | −$2 | -36% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Jan 13 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | Jan 09 | $1,899 | −$1,899 | -100% |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09? | Jan 09 | $1,163 | −$1,163 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09? | Jan 09 | $1,153 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09? | Jan 09 | $1,142 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09? | Jan 09 | $1,134 | +$8 | +1% |
| Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw? | Jan 08 | $1,123 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08? | Jan 08 | $998 | +$125 | +12% |
| Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs | Jan 08 | $993 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | Jan 07 | $15 | −$11 | -79% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? | Jan 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07? | Jan 07 | $11 | −$4 | -34% |