Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
24 0x2494…9a83 crypto 578 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$6,608 (+24%) realized −$27,463 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -33% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate45%475W / 584L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day562.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,379
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-39.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1059 -32.8% -39.2% 45% 30% -49.0%
≤30d 1059 -32.8% -39.2% 45% 30% -49.0%
≤90d 1059 -32.8% -39.2% 45% 30% -49.0%
all 1059 -32.8% -39.2% 45% 30% -49.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover562.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.2% 30% -49.0%
10% ← realistic here -45.0% 14% -53.9%
15% -50.3% 6% -58.3%
20% -55.2% 3% -62.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -52% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -33% · $-wt -52% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -67% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$56 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$27,463
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses475 / 584
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1059 / 578
History coverage5d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day562.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1059 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$37 -1354%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$104 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$46 -7726%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$13 -2274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $65 −$49 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$50 -140%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$100 -15808%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $72 −$97 -134%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 −$82 -99243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $99 −$106 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $74 −$193 -261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $138 −$134 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $75 −$110 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$43 -269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $65 −$76 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$25 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $64 −$98 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$19 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$27 -574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$50 -216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$111 -1548%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $42 −$62 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $65 −$65 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $115 −$115 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records