trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -23.9% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | +31.3% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 32% | 32% | +0.2% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 32% | 32% | +0.2% |
| all | 28 | +49.8% | +35.5% | 32% | 32% | +0.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +35.5% | 32% | +0.2% |
| 10% | +22.6% | 29% | -9.4% |
| 15% | +10.7% | 29% | -18.2% |
| 20% | -0.1% | 29% | -26.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $200 | $196 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $200 | $194 | −$6 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $80 | $66 | −$14 (-17%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$80 | +388% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$15 | +15% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$46 | +223% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$173 | +170% |