trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 64¢ | 68¢ | $130 | $138 | +$8 (+6%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Under | 65¢ | 55¢ | $155 | $130 | −$25 (-16%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Knicks | 55¢ | 57¢ | $103 | $107 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $25 | $10 | −$15 (-62%) |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays | 47¢ | 0¢ | $59 | $0 | −$59 (-100%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | New York Yankees | 54¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-100%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $55 | $0 | −$55 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova | Coco Gauff | 76¢ | 0¢ | $75 | $0 | −$75 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Spurs | 52¢ | 0¢ | $122 | $0 | −$122 (-100%) |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 62¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 52¢ | 0¢ | $48 | $0 | −$48 (-100%) |
| UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | Jingnan Xiong | 64¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $0 | −$24 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic | Belinda Bencic | 45¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | Naomi Osaka | 20¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $135 | +$99 | +73% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 13 | $333 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 06 | $49 | −$48 | -99% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 05 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? | Jun 05 | $11 | +$5 | +44% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $123 | −$122 | -99% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | Jun 01 | $52 | −$50 | -98% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 01 | $90 | +$87 | +97% |
| Mirra Andreeva vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | May 31 | $70 | +$19 | +27% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 31 | $60 | −$59 | -98% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic | May 31 | $178 | −$16 | -9% |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | May 31 | $28 | −$28 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5 | May 31 | $16 | +$13 | +79% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | May 30 | $13 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |
| UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma | May 30 | $58 | +$12 | +20% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh | May 30 | $290 | +$597 | +206% |
| UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, | May 30 | $40 | +$8 | +19% |
| UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, P | May 30 | $51 | −$24 | -47% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova | May 29 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +36.6% | +23.6% | 50% | 50% | +9.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 45% | 45% | +10.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 45% | 45% | +10.7% |
| all | 20 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 45% | 45% | +10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.7% | 45% | +10.7% |
| 10% | -33.7% | 30% | +0.1% |
| 15% | -40.1% | 25% | -9.6% |
| 20% | -46.0% | 20% | -18.5% |