Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:47:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
24 0x24d3…76cd crypto 1768 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$44 (+0%) realized +$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1731W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day77.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$157
7 days−$102
14 days−$268
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 320 -1.6% -10.9% 97% 2% -10.5%
≤30d 1772 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 1772 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.7%
all 1772 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 1% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$45 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1731 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1772 / 1768
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day77.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1772 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records