Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:46:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x24e4…309e
crypto · 33 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$25,342 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31,763 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31,763
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses3 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)10%
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 33
History coverage160d
Avg bet$1,538
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,284
7 days−$8,284
14 days−$9,308
30 days−$10,062
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3,394 $0 −$3,394 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $591 $0 −$591 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $485 $0 −$485 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $722 $0 −$722 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $737 $0 −$737 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1,025 $0 −$1,025 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1,023 $0 −$1,023 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3,582 $0 −$3,582 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1,226 $0 −$1,226 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1,079 $0 −$1,079 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2,045 $0 −$2,045 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1,294 $0 −$1,294 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2,541 $0 −$2,541 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4,235 $0 −$4,235 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $737 −$737 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1,226 −$1,226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,079 −$480 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $110 −$75 -68%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2,569 −$2,541 -99%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $4,256 −$3,032 -71%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $1,065 −$1,025 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? May 25 $117 −$109 -94%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $527 −$15 -3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 18 $3,623 −$199 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? May 18 $537 −$231 -43%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? May 17 $1,000 −$200 -20%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 11 $4 −$4 -96%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $652 +$585 +90%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? May 08 $1,460 +$3,269 +224%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Jan 13 $9,680 −$1,760 -18%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 06 $1,294 −$1,294 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jan 06 $2,045 −$2,045 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jan 06 $783 −$609 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jan 06 $660 −$660 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jan 06 $1,024 −$1,023 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 05 $591 −$591 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jan 05 $1,202 +$38 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jan 05 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jan 05 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jan 05 $157 −$157 -100%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jan 05 $226 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jan 05 $485 −$485 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jan 05 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jan 05 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jan 05 $412 −$412 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jan 05 $438 −$438 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jan 05 $3,398 −$3,394 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jan 04 $4,245 −$4,235 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jan 04 $1,169 −$1,168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jan 04 $3,584 −$3,582 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jan 04 $3,085 −$3,274 -106%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$24,923
world 39% −$1,921
other 5% −$2,541
sports 2% +$570
tech 1% −$231
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 10¢ $176 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $8 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $47 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $18 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $20 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $17 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $180 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 12¢ $34 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 12¢ $91 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 12¢ $235 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-70.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -87.1% -88.3% 0% 0% -83.4%
≤30d 15 -70.4% -73.2% 0% 0% -63.2%
≤90d 18 -46.8% -51.8% 11% 11% -39.0%
all 40 -67.7% -70.8% 8% 8% -63.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.8% 8% -63.7%
10% -73.6% 8% -67.2%
15% ← realistic here -76.2% 5% -70.4%
20% -78.5% 5% -73.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records