Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x24f1…537c
sports · 448 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$1,213 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,329 · open −$116
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized+$1,329
Unrealized−$116
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses272 / 173
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$90
Open positions3
Markets (closed)445 / 448
History coverage391d
Avg bet$227
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,630
7 days−$1,630
14 days−$1,630
30 days−$1,630
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 56¢ $77 $80 +$4 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 64¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$15 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $107 −$3 -3%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$13 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$27 +88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$13 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$18 +43%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $44 +$54 +123%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 −$38 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $53 +$6 +11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $43 +$10 +22%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$18 -90%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Jun 11 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Jun 11 $504 −$504 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Jun 11 $411 −$411 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30? Jun 11 $602 −$602 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$19 +95%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 +$18 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $21 +$5 +23%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $497 +$304 +61%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 1 Winner Mar 31 $412 +$87 +21%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5) Mar 31 $287 +$125 +43%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Mar 31 $385 +$114 +30%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Mar 31 $48 +$18 +38%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Mar 31 $471 −$179 -38%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winner Mar 31 $200 +$82 +41%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Mar 31 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Grou Mar 31 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 31 $1,590 +$537 +34%
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1 Mar 31 $108 −$108 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Mar 31 $167 −$167 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Mar 31 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Mar 31 $100 −$100 -100%
Will England win on 2026-03-27? Mar 31 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 31 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Mar 31 $286 −$286 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Mar 31 $247 −$247 -100%
76ers vs. Hornets Mar 31 $670 −$670 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A Mar 31 $168 −$168 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Mar 31 $485 −$485 -100%
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26? Mar 31 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Mar 31 $695 −$695 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Mar 31 $630 −$630 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Mar 31 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner Mar 31 $810 −$810 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 31 $1,483 −$1,483 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$1,368
other 14% +$575
weather 3% +$791
crypto 2% +$676
world 1% +$37
politics 1% +$521
culture 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 64¢ $66 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 99¢ $66 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $78 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $78 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 75¢ $50 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $25 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $30 2h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $33 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $60 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 22¢ $26 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $57 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $44 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $30 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $58 4h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 59¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 69¢ $30 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $30 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $11 5h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 51¢ $21 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $23 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $23 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $20 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $20 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $18 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $58 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 89¢ $53 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 57% -72.0%
≤30d 23 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 57% -72.0%
≤90d 333 -16.4% -24.4% 53% 49% -11.3%
all 445 -1.6% -11.0% 61% 56% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 56% -8.3%
10% -19.5% 48% -17.1%
15% -27.3% 38% -25.1%
20% -34.4% 25% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.27 · official $80.29 (match) · 1132 history records