Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:47:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
24 0x24f5…37cf crypto 96 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate94%90W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day29.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 3% -9.9%
≤30d 96 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 3% -9.9%
≤90d 96 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 3% -9.9%
all 96 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 3% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$14 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses90 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)96 / 96
History coverage4d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 96 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 199 history records