trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 7 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $30 | $29 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $29 | $29 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 25 | $681 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 25 | $712 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25? | Jun 25 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 25 | $30 | $0 | -0% |