trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -66.3% | -69.6% | 25% | 25% | -69.4% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 36% | 36% | -42.5% |
| ≤90d | 110 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 33% | 33% | -39.6% |
| all | 110 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 33% | 33% | -39.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.1% | 33% | -39.6% |
| 10% | -34.1% | 32% | -45.4% |
| 15% | -40.4% | 30% | -50.7% |
| 20% | -46.3% | 27% | -55.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $33 | $41 | +$8 (+25%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $19 | +$7 (+50%) |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $19 | +$4 (+25%) |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $6 | −$10 (-61%) |
| Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $5 | −$1 (-16%) |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+28%) |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 13 | $12 | +$4 | +35% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 09 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 08 | $13 | +$13 | +97% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 5? | Jun 05 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $14 | +$10 | +67% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 01 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $11 | +$14 | +129% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | May 30 | $77 | −$40 | -51% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? | May 30 | $3 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | May 29 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 27 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $9 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 26 | $107 | −$49 | -46% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $9 | +$7 | +73% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $6 | +$4 | +73% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 22 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 22 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 19 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 16 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $8 | +$4 | +50% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $4 | +$6 | +146% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | May 15 | $4 | −$3 | -68% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 15 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 14 | $8 | +$5 | +62% |
| Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | May 14 | $6 | −$1 | -18% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 13 | $45 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | May 12 | $7 | +$5 | +73% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | May 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 08 | $8 | +$2 | +24% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 05 | $3 | +$2 | +60% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $15 | −$5 | -34% |