Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2518…254f
sports · 107 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29,376 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33,746 · open +$4,684
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,628
Realized−$33,746
Unrealized+$4,684
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses52 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$8,033
Open positions2
Markets (closed)127 / 107
History coverage33d
Avg bet$3,428
Trades / day104.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36,816
7 days−$40,227
14 days−$38,437
30 days−$31,849
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 54¢ 100¢ $5,828 $10,879 +$5,050 (+87%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 35¢ 30¢ $3,115 $2,749 −$366 (-12%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 75¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Vitality.Bee 35¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Ozarox Esports 55¢ 0¢ $1,072 $0 −$1,072 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 22¢ 0¢ $774 $0 −$774 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 54¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 45¢ 0¢ $4,282 $0 −$4,282 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 43¢ 0¢ $909 $0 −$909 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winner Esprit Shōnen 29¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 61¢ 0¢ $1,221 $0 −$1,221 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 77¢ 0¢ $1,506 $0 −$1,506 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team Vitality 65¢ 0¢ $1,294 $0 −$1,294 (-100%)
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Barcząca Esports 46¢ 0¢ $847 $0 −$847 (-100%)
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner Barcząca Esports 46¢ 0¢ $678 $0 −$678 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner RED Canids 31¢ 0¢ $620 $0 −$620 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 58¢ 0¢ $4,315 $0 −$4,315 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 24¢ 0¢ $865 $0 −$865 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner SK Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $520 $0 −$520 (-100%)
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner Dark Passage 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 51¢ 0¢ $2,068 $0 −$2,068 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 56¢ 0¢ $2,723 $0 −$2,723 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 64¢ 0¢ $1,057 $0 −$1,057 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 24¢ 0¢ $461 $0 −$461 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $134 −$2,625 -1962%
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$216 -644%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,282 −$5,187 -121%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $909 −$2,779 -306%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $113 −$462 -410%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,221 −$1,838 -150%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,506 −$3,757 -250%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,294 −$1,294 -100%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $678 −$680 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $865 −$914 -106%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $520 −$520 -100%
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$213 -7780%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $2,068 −$3,096 -150%
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,723 −$4,755 -175%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $461 −$462 -100%
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seaso Jun 12 $137 +$715 +522%
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$498 -13264%
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $259 −$1,359 -525%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $570 −$655 -115%
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,423 −$5,873 -133%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,311 −$2,340 -101%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,683 +$2,314 +63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,659 −$319 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $4,896 +$1,445 +30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,459 +$5,175 +116%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$6 +61%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7,309 +$978 +13%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $6,596 −$1,090 -16%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,799 +$3,692 +77%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $11,288 −$5,387 -48%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5,005 −$1,798 -36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,235 −$3,799 -90%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6,586 −$4,495 -68%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,137 −$1,942 -91%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,638 −$287 -18%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,935 +$1,229 +64%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $8,943 +$422 +5%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $3,068 +$2,028 +66%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $893 +$1,236 +138%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $860 −$823 -96%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $4,013 −$296 -7%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,394 +$77 +6%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $7,121 −$3,798 -53%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $767 −$348 -45%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $1,818 −$1,003 -55%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $5,506 +$440 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $2,860 −$2,841 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $2,532 −$530 -21%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $2,425 −$1,008 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$9,749
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $5 14m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $5 14m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $1 15m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $5 15m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $3 15m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $1 15m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $5 15m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $2 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $23 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $10 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $0 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $5 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ $1 16m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 11¢ $3 17m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 14¢ $1 17m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 16¢ $2 17m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 19¢ $53 18m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 32¢ $637 23m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 32¢ $2 23m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 32¢ $2 23m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ $570 24m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $55 25m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $44 25m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $2 25m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $3 25m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $28 26m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $28 26m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $56 26m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ $512 26m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 37¢ $412 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -35.8% -41.9% 27% 24% -29.3%
≤30d 122 -12.1% -20.5% 41% 35% -12.2%
≤90d 127 -12.1% -20.5% 41% 35% -12.5%
all 127 -12.1% -20.5% 41% 35% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 35% -12.5%
10% -28.1% 26% -20.9%
15% ← realistic here -35.0% 21% -28.6%
20% -41.4% 17% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,627.64 · official $13,627.64 (match) · 3500 history records