Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:20:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2542…7821
crypto · 935 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$561 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,394 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$2,394
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses593 / 341
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$859
Open positions1
Markets (closed)934 / 935
History coverage42d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day48.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 934 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$525
14 days−$2,037
30 days−$1,806
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 69¢ 65¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 40¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 44¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 16¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Eternal Fire 46¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$23 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li Jun 14 $32 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 14 $20 +$21 +105%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $20 +$12 +59%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $20 +$22 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $19 −$19 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% −$3,121
crypto 42% +$665
other 0% +$60
economics 0% +$5
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $41 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $31 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $41 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $42 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $31 36m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 69¢ $50 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $46 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $37 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $31 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $42 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -4.7% -13.8% 66% 62% -16.7%
≤30d 774 -5.4% -14.4% 65% 58% -11.5%
≤90d 934 -5.2% -14.2% 63% 57% -11.5%
all 934 -5.2% -14.2% 63% 57% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 57% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 46% -19.9%
15% -29.9% 33% -27.7%
20% -36.8% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.10 · official $47.37 (match) · 2241 history records