Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2547…4bc1
crypto · 426 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$116 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses353 / 73
Open positions0
Markets (closed)426 / 426
History coverage7d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 426 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$176
14 days−$176
30 days−$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$25 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $339 −$17 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $161 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $134 −$13 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $315 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $278 −$16 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $482 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $31 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $31 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 2% -10.5%
≤30d 426 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 426 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 2% -10.5%
all 426 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.8%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1521 history records