Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:39:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x2563…1c37
crypto · 234 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$172 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$167 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,092
Realized+$167
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses229 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)229 / 234
History coverage165d
Avg bet$655
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$12
14 days+$22
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? No 100¢ 98¢ $440 $430 −$9 (-2%)
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? No 100¢ 98¢ $359 $351 −$8 (-2%)
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 8-14? No 100¢ 97¢ $218 $213 −$5 (-3%)
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $64 $64 −$0 (-0%)
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $35 $34 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? Jun 14 $1,026 +$2 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 14? Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 14? Jun 14 $28 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,113 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 12? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $888 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 12? Jun 12 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,109 +$2 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10? Jun 10 $784 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $97 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? Jun 10 $227 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,107 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9? Jun 09 $883 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 9? Jun 09 $224 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $1,105 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,104 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $1,103 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $1,102 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1,101 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 5? Jun 05 $400 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5? Jun 05 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? Jun 05 $284 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5? Jun 05 $384 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 4? Jun 05 $27 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on June 4? Jun 05 $6 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $500 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.45 on June 4? Jun 05 $35 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 4? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $143 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 4? Jun 04 $1,098 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $206 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 3? Jun 03 $890 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,088 +$2 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1? Jun 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 31? Jun 01 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 31? Jun 01 $98 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 31? Jun 01 $98 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 31? Jun 01 $35 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 31? Jun 01 $28 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on May 31? Jun 01 $155 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 31? Jun 01 $240 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 31? Jun 01 $273 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29? May 29 $422 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29? May 29 $486 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29? May 29 $185 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 28? May 28 $393 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 28? May 28 $418 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 28? May 28 $279 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? May 26 $1,090 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24? May 25 $1,089 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$142
other 1% +$2
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $35 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $200 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $111 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $129 1h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $110 1h
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $99 1h
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $64 1h
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $218 1h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $28 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $10 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $25 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $240 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $760 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,113 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $888 2d
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $140 2d
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $39 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $45 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $79 4d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $399 4d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $631 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $97 4d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $227 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $40 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $744 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $1,107 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $883 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 68 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 140 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 229 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,092.47 · official $1,092.47 (match) · 517 history records