trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +134.1% | +111.8% | 50% | 50% | +90.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +88.6% | +70.7% | 40% | 40% | +32.9% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +104.5% | +85.0% | 50% | 39% | +82.1% |
| all | 19 | +93.8% | +75.3% | 47% | 37% | +72.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +75.3% | 37% | +72.4% |
| 10% | +58.5% | 37% | +55.9% |
| 15% | +43.2% | 32% | +40.8% |
| 20% | +29.2% | 32% | +27.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 21¢ | $104 | $306 | +$202 (+195%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 24¢ | $204 | $291 | +$87 (+42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 20 | $103 | +$362 | +351% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $50 | +$14 | +29% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $12 | +$81 | +679% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$10 | -20% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$122 | +239% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $100 | −$4 | -4% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 26 | $100 | −$86 | -86% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | May 21 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | May 17 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 07 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Apr 25 | $209 | −$8 | -4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 24 | $107 | +$2 | +2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 21 | $100 | +$67 | +67% |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Apr 16 | $400 | +$474 | +119% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 15 | $104 | +$1,052 | +1011% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 10 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |