Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x257e…ca61
sports · 131 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,035 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,585 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$492
Realized+$2,585
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses78 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$537
Open positions8
Markets (closed)123 / 131
History coverage13d
Avg bet$357
Trades / day250.6
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days−$304
14 days+$2,585
30 days+$2,585
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 89¢ 100¢ $172 $194 +$22 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 51¢ 53¢ $125 $128 +$4 (+3%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Level UP 67¢ 86¢ $77 $99 +$22 (+28%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 45¢ 66¢ $18 $27 +$9 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 85¢ 86¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 20¢ 22¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 20¢ 34¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+68%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs RED Canids 88¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 78¢ 2¢ $64 $1 −$63 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 35¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 22¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs MODUS 46¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 69¢ 0¢ $429 $0 −$429 (-100%)
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Saigon Dino 22¢ 0¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A HMBLE 24¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A HMBLE 21¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B PCIFIC 50¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 40¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Partizan Sangal 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs Level UP 25¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati Jun 12 $57 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $119 +$24 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $55 −$37 -67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $100 +$25 +25%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $83 +$67 +81%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $134 +$16 +12%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $160 +$168 +105%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $531 +$658 +124%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $15 −$14 -88%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $350 −$9 -3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $63 +$7 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $98 +$2 +2%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $306 −$168 -55%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $125 +$14 +11%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $478 +$231 +48%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $839 +$61 +7%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $737 +$224 +30%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $300 +$50 +17%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $1,054 −$163 -16%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $538 −$454 -84%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $249 +$82 +33%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $667 −$394 -59%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $4,093 +$945 +23%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $269 −$11 -4%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $412 +$30 +7%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $91 +$7 +7%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $145 −$8 -5%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qual Jun 10 $141 −$57 -40%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $316 −$272 -86%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $321 −$91 -28%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $562 −$188 -33%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $1,121 −$595 -53%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $41 +$9 +21%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $14 −$4 -28%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $161 +$31 +19%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $316 +$34 +11%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $221 +$9 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $389 +$33 +9%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $326 +$180 +55%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $139 −$29 -21%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $3,232 −$2,532 -78%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $15 +$10 +67%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $19 +$8 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,582
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 20¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 85¢ $10 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 85¢ $11 23m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 71¢ $18 37m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 45¢ $23 47m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 64¢ $11 54m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 66¢ $16 55m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 40¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $58 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $20 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 56¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 25¢ $6 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 56¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 27¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $2 1h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 66¢ $16 1h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY Level UP 67¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 32¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 32¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 32¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 82¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +17.1% +5.9% 60% 46% -10.6%
≤30d 123 +17.9% +6.7% 63% 49% -3.1%
≤90d 123 +17.9% +6.7% 63% 49% -3.1%
all 123 +17.9% +6.7% 63% 49% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover250.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.7% 49% -3.1%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 35% -12.4%
15% -12.9% 25% -20.9%
20% -21.4% 19% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $491.97 · official $491.97 (match) · 3500 history records