Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:26:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x258b…db84
crypto · 731 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$559 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$559 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$559
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses305 / 426
Open positions0
Markets (closed)731 / 731
History coverage22d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day145.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 731 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$257
14 days−$356
30 days−$559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +153%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$515
other 2% −$15
weather 2% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 460 -17.0% -24.9% 41% 26% -20.0%
≤30d 731 -14.1% -22.3% 42% 27% -19.0%
≤90d 731 -14.1% -22.3% 42% 27% -19.0%
all 731 -14.1% -22.3% 42% 27% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 27% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 14% -26.7%
15% -36.5% 8% -33.8%
20% -42.7% 5% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records