trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +19.4% | +8.0% | 90% | 50% | -5.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +19.4% | +8.0% | 90% | 50% | -5.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +19.4% | +8.0% | 90% | 50% | -5.1% |
| all | 10 | +19.4% | +8.0% | 90% | 50% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +8.0% | 50% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -2.3% | 40% | -14.2% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -11.8% | 30% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -20.4% | 30% | -30.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48,897 | $48,970 | +$74 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $360 | +$80 | +22% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $428 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | Jun 17 | $24,300 | +$1,752 | +7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 17 | $2,763 | +$147 | +5% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | Jun 17 | $748 | +$582 | +78% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | Jun 17 | $785 | +$555 | +71% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Jun 17 | $4,386 | +$58 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 17 | $1,258 | +$683 | +54% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3,768 | +$398 | +11% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 17 | $3,827 | −$2,166 | -57% |