Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25a2…88ee
crypto · 69 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$12
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses49 / 19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)68 / 69
Avg bet$14
Trades / day168.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 59¢ 60¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$15 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $76 −$68 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $56 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$15 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 35% -13.0%
≤30d 68 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 35% -13.0%
≤90d 68 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 35% -13.0%
all 68 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 35% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover168.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 35% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 21% -21.3%
15% -30.4% 10% -28.9%
20% -37.2% 7% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.30 · official $10.47 · 213 history records