Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:07:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
25 0x25ac…e89e crypto 1055 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (541 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$327 (-2%) realized −$327 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate62%674W / 411L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day540.7pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$290
other 8% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (541 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1085 -12.3% -20.6% 62% 8% -12.9%
≤30d 1085 -12.3% -20.6% 62% 8% -12.9%
≤90d 1085 -12.3% -20.6% 62% 8% -12.9%
all 1085 -12.3% -20.6% 62% 8% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover540.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 8% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 4% -21.2%
15% -35.2% 3% -28.8%
20% -41.5% 3% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$327
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses674 / 411
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1085 / 1055
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day540.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1085 Trades
no open positions (180 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $44 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $49 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $47 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $69 −$14 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $85 −$35 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $49 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $49 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $49 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $43 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $49 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.88 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records