Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:02:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25c4…0afe
crypto · 602 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,223 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses260 / 342
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)602 / 602
Avg bet$24
Trades / day47.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 602 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$472
7 days−$389
14 days−$686
30 days−$1,252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 19¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A FlyQuest 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $569 $0 −$569 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $516 +$429 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$102 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$98 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $662 +$560 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $259 −$254 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $373 +$325 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$66 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $518 +$429 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$18 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$59 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$81 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$17 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $472 −$445 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $593 −$569 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $400 −$388 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$192 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$164 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$99 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$81 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $27 +$22 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$11 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$4 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $9 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$961
other 1% −$195
sports 1% −$58
finance 1% +$1
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $516 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $196 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $124 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $197 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $225 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $241 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $698 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $373 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -7.9% -16.6% 46% 44% -13.0%
≤30d 596 -10.6% -19.1% 43% 42% -16.5%
≤90d 602 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 42% -16.3%
all 602 -10.3% -18.9% 43% 42% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 42% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 40% -24.3%
15% -33.7% 37% -31.6%
20% -40.2% 34% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1593 history records