Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25e3…9f8c
other · 229 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,235 -99%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,236 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$275
Realized−$4,236
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses49 / 246
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions25
Markets (closed)295 / 229
History coverage25d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day137.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 25 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,741
7 days−$1,726
14 days−$2,660
30 days−$4,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $109 $108 −$1 (-1%)
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $57 $58 +$2 (+3%)
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $18 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+47%)
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 7¢ $5 $10 +$4 (+81%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+42%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $9 $7 −$1 (-16%)
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
Will Harry Hall win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-23%)
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$2 (-39%)
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-41%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 1.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 Under 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Under 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 1 Toulouse FC? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 1 AC Milan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $187 −$187 -100%
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
AFC Unirea Slobozia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $269 −$269 -100%
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Spread: FC Spartak Trnava (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% −$522
sports 42% −$921
culture 1% −$48
crypto 1% −$18
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 21¢ $16 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 SELL Over 11¢ $17 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half SELL Yes 19¢ $15 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 26¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 20m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1 21m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-51.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -54.8% -59.1% 15% 12% -50.7%
≤30d 295 -46.4% -51.5% 17% 12% -62.7%
≤90d 295 -46.4% -51.5% 17% 12% -62.7%
all 295 -46.4% -51.5% 17% 12% -62.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.5% 12% -62.7%
10% ← realistic here -56.1% 11% -66.3%
15% -60.4% 10% -69.5%
20% -64.3% 8% -72.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $275.36 · official $275.37 (match) · 3500 history records