Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

25
0x25f3…d1ab
sports · 1379 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$93 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses611 / 746
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions22
Markets (closed)1357 / 1379
History coverage97d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 22 History 1357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$32
14 days+$31
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 84¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+32%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 62¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+208%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 62¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+381%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 94¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+123%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 14¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-68%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 3¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Under 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 +$6 +596%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 +$16 +1521%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$5 +152%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $2 +$7 +365%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$8 +250%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +550%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$16
crypto 15% −$33
other 4% −$45
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 51m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $5 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 27¢ $3 12h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 50¢ $3 12h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 57¢ $3 12h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $3 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $2 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 8¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 20¢ $2 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 5¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $3 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +2.9% -6.9% 34% 34% +0.7%
≤30d 416 -7.8% -16.5% 33% 33% -11.0%
≤90d 1201 -7.5% -16.3% 42% 42% -12.4%
all 1357 -5.2% -14.2% 45% 44% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 44% -11.5%
10% -22.4% 42% -19.9%
15% -29.9% 36% -27.7%
20% -36.8% 31% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.64 · official $63.67 (match) · 2922 history records