trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +105% |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMM | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMM | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $5 | +$9 | +186% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 03 | $5 | +$15 | +300% |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68t | Feb 02 | $5 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68t | Feb 02 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -72.1% | -74.7% | 14% | 14% | -75.6% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -72.1% | -74.7% | 14% | 14% | -75.6% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -57.2% | -61.3% | 21% | 21% | -63.8% |
| all | 27 | -37.6% | -43.5% | 30% | 30% | -49.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.5% | 30% | -49.5% |
| 10% | -48.9% | 26% | -54.4% |
| 15% | -53.9% | 22% | -58.8% |
| 20% | -58.4% | 15% | -62.8% |